Spain’s increasingly aggressive posture toward Israel and the US risks damaging its ties with the Jewish world, as Sánchez’s political tactics collide with geopolitical realities. Yet, António Costa currently supports Pedro Sánchez in his role as President of the European Council. Yesterday, he held a telephone conversation with his personal friend Sánchez to express the "European Union's full solidarity" with Spain and a "firm commitment to the principles of international law and a rules-based order".

For years, Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has governed Spain through left politics and escalation. The same tactics and politics were used by António Costa when he governed Portugal between 2015 and 2023. State institutions presided over by faithful friends, policies hostile to the history of their countries, the rejection of Jewish and Christian history, the mass immigration of radical Muslims, the passionate trips to Guinea and Qatar, the contracts with Lula and Maduro... Their stance towards Iberian Jewish communities was also similar; both sought to isolate and eliminate relevant Jewish realities while simultaneously praising and exploiting, to their liking, dead or insignificant Jewish realities within the Soviet logic of trying to escape accusations of antisemitism.

That approach worked at home, in Spain and Portugal, but geopolitics runs on different rules and it is not calibrated around the idea that consequences always stay limited. Local newspaper editors have no say in the matter now, nor do the economic financiers of the political game. Now, secret diplomacy, intelligence services, and military force rule, all articulated with a spiritual dimension that communists like Sanchez and Costa cannot understand.

For the Iberian far left, the glorious times are over. The calculation was straightforward: the Iberian countries were not central. Jerusalem, Washington, Moscow and Beijing had bigger priorities. So the communist gestures escalated, the language hardened, the symbolism intensified. Little happened right away.

Immunity built on irrelevance, though, has an expiration date. Through accumulated friction, Spain and Portugal risk becoming a higher-tier issue. Once that shift happens, the dynamic changes. Strategic assets get reconsidered. Scrutiny rises. Forgotten and never investigated facts become central. The world of the super powers will not absorb strategic recklessness, as it was not built to underwrite unilateral geopolitical and parasitic adventurism.

Domestic tactics do not intimidate superpowers. The belief that the iberian Far Left could confront Israel and the Jewish world loudly, strain Washington and Moscow, and avoid structural consequences depended on one condition: that the actors stay strategically peripheral. If that condition is gone, the margin for maneuver is gone with it.

It is not possible to survive by constantly pushing forward, shifting crises, reframing battles, and raising stakes. Political resilience can outlast domestic scandals, but rarely outlasts structural miscalculation. Momentum can turn into free fall.